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Nov. 20 – Week 11 Picks

November 20, 2010 Leave a comment

Last minute week 11 picks :

16) Baltimore at Carolina (Line : BAL – 11, O/U : 37) Ravens 28 Panthers 18

15) Washington at Tennessee (Line : TEN – 7, O/U : 44) Titans 34 Redskins 26

14) Atanta at St. Louis (Line : ATL – 3, O/U : 43) Falcons 23 Rams 21

13) Denver at San Diego (Line : SDC – 9.5, O/U : 50) Chargers 34 Broncos 26

12) Chicago at Miami (Line : MIA – 2.5, O/U : 40) Dolphins 22 Bears 21

11) Tampa Bay at San Francisco (Line : SFO –3.5, O/U : 42) 49ers 25 Buccaneers 20

10) Cleveland at Jacksonville (Line : JAX – 2.5, O/U : 43) Jaguars 28 Browns 23

9) Houston at N.Y. Jets (Line : NYJ – 6.5, O/U : 46) Jets 28 Texans 19

8 ) Indianapolis at New England (Line : NEP – 4, O/U : 50) Patriots 24 Colts 23

7) Seattle at New Orleans (Line : NOR – 11.5, O/U : 44) Saints 28 Seahawks 13

6) Arizona at Kansas City (Line : KAN – 8, O/U : 43.5) Chiefs 31 Cardinals 20

5) N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia (Line : PHI – 3, O/U : 48) Eagles 36 Giants 27

4) Detroit at Dallas (Line : DAL – 6, O/U : 47) Cowboys 23 Lions 22

3) Green Bay at Minnesota (Line : GBP -3, O/U : 44) Packers 24 Vikings 14

2) Buffalo at Cincinnati (Line : CIN – 5, O/U : 42.5) Bills 20 Bengals 19

1) Oakland at Pittsburgh (Line : PIT – 7.5, O/U : 40.5) Raiders 27 Steelers 1 

Good luck in Week 11!

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Categories: Uncategorized

Nov. 13 – Week 10 Picks

November 13, 2010 Leave a comment

Last minute week 10 picks :

14) Cincinnati at Indianapolis (Line : IND – 7, O/U : 47) Colts 29 Bengals 21

13) New England at Pittsburgh (Line : PIT – 4.5, O/U : 45) Steelers 27 Patriots 21

12) Baltimore at Atlanta (Line : ATL – 1, O/U : 43.5) Ravens 27 Falcons 26

11) Philadelphia at Washington (Line : PHI –3, O/U : 42) Eagles 26 Redskins 25

10) Minnesota at Chicago (Line : MIN – 1, O/U : 40.5) Bears 20 Vikings 19

9) St. Louis at San Francisco (Line : SFO – 6, O/U : 38) 49ers 20 Rams 16

8 ) Houston at Jacksonville (Line : JAX – 1.5, O/U : 50) Jaguars 29 Texans 24

7) Carolina at Tampa Bay (Line : TAM – 6.5, O/U : 36) Buccaneers 25 Panthers 16

6) Tennessee at Miami (Line : TEN – 1, O/U : 43) Titans 25 Dolphins 21

5) Seattle at Arizona (Line : ARZ – 3, O/U : 41) Cardinals 26 Seahawks 18

4) Detroit at Buffalo (Line : BUF – 3, O/U : 43) Lions 25 Bills 23

3) Kansas City at Denver (Line : KAN -1, O/U : 42.5) Chiefs 29 Broncos 17

2) N.Y. Jets at Cleveland (Line : NYJ – 3, O/U : 37.5) Browns 25 Jets 14

1) Dallas at N.Y. Giants (Line : NYG – 14, O/U : 45.5) Giants 45 Cowboys 16

Good luck in Week 10!

Categories: Uncategorized

Nov. 7 – Week 9 Picks

November 7, 2010 Leave a comment

Last minute week 9 picks :

13) San Diego at Houston (Line : SDC – 3, O/U : 49.5) Chargers 27 Texans 23

12) New England at Cleveland (Line : NEP – 4, O/U : 43.5) Patriots 23 Browns 18

11) Arizona at Minnesota (Line : MIN – 7.5, O/U : 41.5) Vikings 27 Cardinals 21

10) Miami at Baltimore (Line : BAL – 5.5, O/U : 41) Ravens 29 Dolphins 25

9) Indianapolis at Philadelphia (Line : PHI – 3, O/U : 46.5) Eagles 25 Colts 24

8 ) New Orleans at Carolina (Line : NOR – 6.5, O/U : 40.5) Saints 21 Panthers 16

7) N.Y. Giants at Seattle (Line : NYG – 7, O/U : 40.5) Giants 28 Seahawks 19

6) Tampa Bay at Atlanta (Line : ATL – 9, O/U : 45.5) Falcons 28 Buccaneers 23

5) Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (Line : PIT – 5, O/U : 41.5) Steelers 24 Bengals 23

4) Chicago at Buffalo (Line : CHI – 3, O/U : 41.5) Bills 21 Bears 19

3) Dallas at Green Bay (Line : GBP – 7, O/U : 45.5) Packers 29 Cowboys 15

2) Kansas City at Oakland (Line : PK, O/U : 41) Raiders 28 Chiefs 13

1) N.Y. Jets at Detroit (Line : NYJ – 5, O/U : 42) Lions 26 Jets 15

Good luck in Week 9!

Categories: NFL

Oct. 30 – Week 8 Picks

October 30, 2010 Leave a comment

Hey – Still crazy at work – locking a database is fun! Here are the Week 8 picks:

13) Pittsburgh at New Orleans (Line : NOR – 1, O/U : 44) Steelers 21 Saints 20

12) Green Bay at N.Y. Jets (Line : NYJ – 6, O/U : 42.5) Jets 27 Packers 20

11) Carolina at St. Louis (Line : STL – 3, O/U : 37) Rams 19 Panthers 18

10) Minnesota at New England (Line : NEP – 6.5, O/U : 44) Patriots 26 Vikings 18

9) Houston at Indianapolis (Line : IND – 5.5, O/U : 50) Colts 29 Texans 22

8 ) Washington at Detroit (Line : DET – 2.5, O/U : 44.5) Lions 25 Redskins 20

7) Miami at Cincinnati (Line : CIN – 1.5, O/U : 43.5) Dolphins 27 Bengals 26

6) Seattle at Oakland (Line : OAK – 2.5, O/U : 42) Raiders 24 Seahawks 18

5) Buffalo at Kansas City (Line : KAN – 7.5, O/U : 46) Chiefs 38 Bills 26

4) Tampa Bay at Arizona (Line : ARZ – 3, O/U : 39) Buccaneers 23 Cardinals 18

3) Jacksonville at Dallas (Line : DAL – 6.5, O/U : 42.5) Cowboys 36 Jaguars 21

2) Denver at San Francisco (Line : SFO – 2, O/U : 42) 49ers 30 Broncos 16

1) Tennessee at San Diego (Line : SDC – 3.5, O/U : 44.5) Titans 27 Chargers 19

Good luck in Week 8!

Categories: NFL

Oct. 23 – Week 7 Picks

October 23, 2010 1 comment

Hey – Got a ton of work work to do over this weekend, so I’m just gunna quickly post the picks with no quick hits:

14) San Francisco at Carolina (Line : SFO – 3, O/U : 35.5) 49ers 21 Panthers 19

13) New England at San Diego (Line : SDC – 2.5, O/U : 48) Chargers 25 Patriots 22

12) Cleveland at New Orleans (Line : NOR – 13, O/U : 43) Saints 27 Browns 15

11) Oakland at Denver (Line : DEN – 7.5, O/U : 42.5) Broncos 27 Raiders 18

10) Minnesota at Green Bay (Line : GBP – 2.5, O/U : 44) Packers 23 Vikings 22

9) Jacksonville at Kansas City (Line : KAN – 9.5, O/U : 37.5) Chiefs 30 Jaguars 19

8 ) Cincinnati at Atlanta (Line : ATL – 3.5, O/U : 43.5) Falcons 24 Bengals 23

7) Arizona at Seattle (Line : SEA – 7, O/U : 40) Seahawks 24 Cardinals 14

6) Pittsburgh at Miami (Line : PIT – 3, O/U : 41) Steelers 26 Dolphins 19

5) Washington at Chicago (Line : CHI – 3, O/U : 40) Redskins 21 Bears 19

4) St. Louis at Tampa Bay (Line : TAM – 3, O/U : 38.5) Rams 22 Buccaneers 20

3) Buffalo at Baltimore (Line : BAL – 13, O/U : 40) Ravens 38 Bills 20

2) Philadelphia at Tennessee (Line : TEN – 3, O/U : 42.5) Titans 29 Eagles 20

1) N.Y. Giants at Dallas (Line : DAL – 3, O/U : 44) Giants 28 Cowboys 21

Good luck in Week 7!

Categories: NFL

Oct. 20 – Week 6 Review

October 20, 2010 Leave a comment

It  was an average week for the picks this week. I went 6-7-1, but got the top 2 picks right. Overall, the picks are still hovering around the 50% mark, but I am now 4-2 on my best bets. Quick hit reviews for last week :

14) Tennessee at Jacksonville (Line : TEN – 3, O/U : 45) Jacksonville has looked much better the last 2 weeks, and will try to make it 3 in a row against a game Tennessee team. The Titans need to show they play as well at home as they do away. The pick here is the Titans: Titans 31 Jaguars 27. Actual score : Titans 30 Jaguars 3 The Titans dominated , and MJD struggled. More interesting is that ESPN’s requesting the coaches to take TOs at the end of the game got CJ a TD. I didn’t know ESPN had that power. A win on the pick, but an over/under loss.

13) Atlanta at Philadelphia (Line : PHI – 2.5, O/U : 42.5) It will be Kevin Kolb again – so we wont see the second coming of Michael Vick vs. Atlanta. Philly looks to rebound off a disappointing loss to the Redskins at home, while Atlanta will try to hold their slim lead in the NFC South. The model likes a close battle here: Eagles 21 Falcons 19  Actual score : Eagles 31 Falcons 17 Kevin Kolb will get another week after an impressive win over Atlanta. That was a scary hit on DeSean Jackson – but it was legal. The Falcons are now only half a game up on the Saints. A loss on both sides here.

12) Miami at Green Bay (Line : GBP – 4, O/U : 45.5) How will the Packers adjust with their slew of injuries?  Rodgers is supposed to play, but will he be 100%? The loss of Finley really hurts. Miami will be hungry after losing to both the Jets and Pats in Miami. The pick here is Green Bay, in a close contest : Packers 24 Dolphins 19. Actual score : Dolphins 23 Packers 20 Injuries are truly taking a toll on Green Bay. Miami has now scored wins in both NFC road games. Now if only they could win a division game. A loss for the mode, but an over/under win.

11) Seattle at Chicago (Line : CHI – 6.5, O/U : 37.5) Jay Cutler returns to a 4-1 Bear team. The Seahawks continue to be a horrible road team. Look for the trend to continue, as the Bears will try to keep their 1.5 game lead in the NFC North : Bears 22 Seahawks 14. Actual score : Seahawks 23 Bears 20 Seattle scores a nice, rare road win. Chicago is a real mess – they cant protect Cutler, and they don’t run the ball. I’m not sure if the Bears fit the Mike Martz model. Losses all around in this game.

10) Baltimore at New England (Line : NEP – 2.5, O/U : 45) Ray Rice broke out last week – will the Pats adjust, or will the Ravens go on a big run? How will Wes Welker adjust to life without Randy Moss? This should be a tooth and nail contest according to the model : Patriots 25 Ravens 24. Actual score : Patriots 23 Bears 20 23-20 was the score of the week (see last 2 games). It took a long OT session for the Pats to take this game. The post-Moss era starts with a win. The Ravens are now behind the Steelers in the AFC North  Losses on the line and the over/under.

9) San Diego at St. Louis (Line : SDC – 8, O/U : 45) The Chargers have been just awful on the road, losing to teams they should supposedly beat three times. Will they go four for four? The Rams good streak on D game to a frightening halt against the Lions – will they be able to handle Philip Rivers? The pick is the Bolts win, but not by 8: Chargers 24 Rams 18. Actual score : Rams 20 Chargers 17 I think its safe to say we will see a lot of poor football this year in these West vs. West matchups. The Rams D returned to form. The Chargers may not win a road game this season. Wins on both ends here.

8 ) Indianapolis at Washington (Line : IND – 3, O/U : 44) The surprising 3-2 Redskins will try to make it two straight wins against the Packers and Colts – no easy feat. Indy comes off a rough win against KC, and will be tested here – as they have a good pass defense. The model likes a Redskins win: Redskins 21 Colts 20. Actual score : Colts 27 Redskins 24 The Colts faced a tough pass defense – so they ran the ball – and they did it well. Joseph Addai had a great day. The Skins made it close, but a last minute pick by McNabb sealed it. A push on the line, and an over/under loss.

7) Dallas at Minnesota (Line : MIN – 1.5, O/U : 44.5) When I first saw this game on the schedule, I thought two good teams will fight it out, with Dallas looking for revenge against the Vikings for running up the score. Now it’s a different story of survivor – the loser goes to 1-4, and is most likely a playoff long shot. The pick is Minny: Vikings 27 Cowboys 21. Actual score : Vikings 24 Cowboys 21 This game was close most of the way, with an E.J, Henderson pick of Tony Romo leading to the game winning FG. Penalties hurt the now 1-4 Cowboys, who go home (where they haven’t won yet) to face the Giants. The model almost nailed this one, and won on both the line and the over/under.

6) N.Y. Jets at Denver (Line : NYJ – 3, O/U : 41.5) The streaking Jets fly into Mile High to take on a Denver team that is very good at home. The key matchup here will be the high octane Denver pass offense against Darrelle Revis and the strong Jet pass defense. The pick is the Jets by a TD :  Jets 30 Broncos 23. Actual score : Jets 24 Broncos 20 The Jets D bent, but did not break against the high powered Denver passing game. The Jets are now 5-1 heading into the bye. A usually good Bronco team at home is now 1-2 in Mile High this year. Wins on both ends here.

5) Cleveland at Pittsburgh (Line : PIT – 13.5, O/U : 37.5) The Browns will go with rookie Colt McCoy at QB against the aggressive Pittsburgh defense. The Steelers will also have a new QB – old yet new – Ben Roethlisberger. The Steelers are heavily favored here, by 13.5 – which the model thinks is a bit much:  Steelers 24 Browns 15. Actual score : Steelers 28 Browns 10 Well 13.5 may have seemed like a lot of points – to the Big Ben-less Steelers. Roethlisberger hit TD passes to Hines Ward and Mike Wallace in this win. A rough debut for Colt McCoy. A loss on the pick, but an over/under win.

4) Oakland at San Francisco (Line : SFO – 6.5, O/U : 41.5) The Raiders come off their nice win against the Chargers to travel across the bay to face the winless 49ers. Oakland will continue to trust Jason Campbell, while the Niners will give Alex Smith one more week to prove he can turn things around. The prediction is San Francisco gets their first win, but by the slimmest of margins:  49ers 25 Raiders 24. Actual score : 49ers 17 Raiders 9 The Niners finally scored their first win in a pretty ugly game. Alex Smith had his troubles, but Frank Gore was a difference maker. Oakland could not carry over the magic from last week’s upset win. Losses on both sides here.

3) New Orleans at Tampa Bay (Line : NOR – 4, O/U : 43.5) :The Saints come into this contest at 3-2, actually half a game behind the Bucs. Tampa will try to continue to surprise, and a win here would solidify their position as the runner-up to the Falcons in the NFC South. The model likes a Buc surprise  Buccaneers 25 Saints 22. Actual score : Saints 31 Buccaneers 6 This one was never close. The Saints looked like last year’s Saints, while the Bucs also looked like last year’s version. With a contest against the Browns this week, will the Saints start a big run?  Losses on the prediction and the over/under.

2) Detroit at N.Y. Giants (Line : NYG – 10, O/U : 44.5) The Giants have won impressively the last 2 weeks – a 24 point win against Houston, and a 14 point win against Chicago. The Lions scored only their first win last week – but it was very impressive, a 38 point romp. The Lions have been in every game except one, and the pick here is that trend continues: Giants 24 Lions 22. Actual score : Giants 28 Lions 20 The Lions made a good effort behind their third string QB Drew Stanton after Shaun Hill hurt his arm. The Giants have looked very good the past several weeks, but will face a test against a desperate Dallas team next Monday night. Wins on both sides here.

1) Kansas City at Houston (Line : HOU – 4.5, O/U : 44) The  Chiefs may have lost for the first time last week, but they still impressed Indy with their strong D. Houston has been in a tailspin, losing to Dallas and the Giants at home in 2 of the last 3 weeks. The model likes them to make it 3 straight home losses: Chiefs 24 Texans 20. Actual score : Texans 35 Chiefs 31 This was a very entertaining back and forth contest. The chiefs showed they can score some points, but the defense faltered. The Texans rebounded off a disappointing home loss, and are tied at the top of the AFC South. A best bet win, but an over/under loss.

Categories: NFL

Oct. 16 – Week 6 Picks

October 17, 2010 Leave a comment

Sorry for the last minute post – I’ve been busy enough that I’ll be blogging these picks while at my local Saturday night poker game……

14) Tennessee at Jacksonville (Line : TEN – 3, O/U : 45) Jacksonville has looked much better the last 2 weeks, and will try to make it 3 in a row against a game Tennessee team. The Titans need to show they play as well at home as they do away. The pick here is the Titans: Titans 31 Jaguars 27.

13) Atlanta at Philadelphia (Line : PHI – 2.5, O/U : 42.5) It will be Kevin Kolb again – so we wont see the second coming of Michael Vick vs. Atlanta. Philly looks to rebound off a disappointing loss to the Redskins at home, while Atlanta will try to hold their slim lead in the NFC South. The model likes a close battle here: Eagles 21 Falcons 19 

12) Miami at Green Bay (Line : GBP – 4, O/U : 45.5) How will the Packers adjust with their slew of injuries?  Rodgers is supposed to play, but will he be 100%? The loss of Finley really hurts. Miami will be hungry after losing to both the Jets and Pats in Miami. The pick here is Green Bay, in a close contest : Packers 24 Dolphins 19.

11) Seattle at Chicago (Line : CHI – 6.5, O/U : 37.5) Jay Cutler returns to a 4-1 Bear team. The Seahawks continue to be a horrible road team. Look for the trend to continue, as the Bears will try to keep their 1.5 game lead in the NFC North : Bears 22 Seahawks 14.

10) Baltimore at New England (Line : NEP – 2.5, O/U : 45) Ray Rice broke out last week – will the Pats adjust, or will the Ravens go on a big run? How will Wes Welker adjust to life without Randy Moss? This should be a tooth and nail contest according to the model : Patriots 25 Ravens 24.

9) San Diego at St. Louis (Line : SDC – 8, O/U : 45) The Chargers have been just awful on the road, losing to teams they should supposedly beat three times. Will they go four for four? The Rams good streak on D game to a frightening halt against the Lions – will they be able to handle Philip Rivers? The pick is the Bolts win, but not by 8: Chargers 24 Rams 18.

8 ) Indianapolis at Washington (Line : IND – 3, O/U : 44) The surprising 3-2 Redskins will try to make it two straight wins against the Packers and Colts – no easy feat. Indy comes off a rough win against KC, and will be tested here – as they have a good pass defense. The model likes a Redskins win: Redskins 21 Colts 20.

7) Dallas at Minnesota (Line : MIN – 1.5, O/U : 44.5) When I first saw this game on the schedule, I thought two good teams will fight it out, with Dallas looking for revenge against the Vikings for running up the score. Now it’s a different story of survivor – the loser goes to 1-4, and is most likely a playoff long shot. The pick is Minny: Vikings 27 Cowboys 21.

6) N.Y. Jets at Denver (Line : NYJ – 3, O/U : 41.5) The streaking Jets fly into Mile High to take on a Denver team that is very good at home. The key matchup here will be the high octane Denver pass offense against Darrelle Revis and the strong Jet pass defense.The pick is the Jets by a TD :  Jets 30 Broncos 23.

5) Cleveland at Pittsburgh (Line : PIT – 13.5, O/U : 37.5) The Browns will go with rookie Colt McCoy at QB against the aggressive Pittsburgh defense. The Steelers will also have a new QB – old yet new – Ben Roethlisberger. The Steelers are heavily favored here, by 13.5 – which the model thinks is a bit much:  Steelers 24 Browns 15.

Can I pick up a hand already?

4) Oakland at San Francisco (Line : SFO – 6.5, O/U : 41.5) The Raiders come off their nice win against the Chargers to travel across the bay to face the winless 49ers. Oakland will continue to trust Jason Campbell, while the Niners will give Alex Smith one more week to prove he can turn things around. The prediction is San Francisco gets their first win, but by the slimmest of margins:  49ers 25 Raiders 24.

3) New Orleans at Tampa Bay (Line : NOR – 4, O/U : 43.5) :The Saints come into this contest at 3-2, actually half a game behind the Bucs. Tampa will try to continue to surprise, and a win here would solidify their position as the runner-up to the Falcons in the NFC South. The model likes a Buc surprise  Buccaneers 25 Saints 22.

2) Detroit at N.Y. Giants (Line : NYG – 10, O/U : 44.5) The Giants have won impressively the last 2 weeks – a 24 point win against Houston, and a 14 point win against Chicago. The Lions scored only their first win last week – but it was very impressive, a 38 point romp. The Lions have been in every game except one, and the pick here is that trend continues: Giants 24 Lions 22.

1) Kansas City at Houston (Line : HOU – 4.5, O/U : 44) The  Chiefs may have lost for the first time last week, but they still impressed Indy with their strong D. Houston has been in a tailspin, losing to Dallas and the Giants at home in 2 of the last 3 weeks. The model likes them to make it 3 straight home losses: Chiefs 24 Texans 20.

Thoughts on Week 6? Let me know.

Categories: NFL
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