Home > NFL > Oct. 6 – Week 5 Picks

Oct. 6 – Week 5 Picks

Without further ado, the Week 5 picks:

14) Chicago at Carolina (Line : CHI – 2.5, O/U : 35.5) The model has the Bears winning by 2.57, so this contest is awful close to the line. Jay Cutler should be back, and the Bears should get well against a offensively challenged Carolina team in a defensive struggle: Bears 18 Panthers 15.

13) Green Bay at Washington (Line : GBP – 2.5, O/U : 44) Another game here that is close to the line – the model has the Pack winning by 2.15 – A contest of two teams without their running backs, so McNabb and Rodgers should air it out here: Packers 23 Redskins 21.

12) Atlanta at Cleveland (Line : ATL – 3, O/U : 40.5) The Browns continue to look like an improved team every week. They will try to take a second straight game at home with Jake Delhomme returning to the helm. The Falcons will try to make it 4 straight – the model says they do: Falcons 24 Browns 19.

11) Tampa Bay at Cincinnati (Line : CIN – 6.5, O/U : 38) The Bucs come off their bye week and visit a Bengal team that finally found their passing game last week. Look for that trend to continue this week, but the Tampa defense should keep it tight: Bengals 24 Buccaneers 19.

10)  N.Y. Giants at Houston (Line : HOU – 3, O/U : 47.5) New York was impressive on defense against Chicago, but still needs to make more strides on offense to outscore the Texans. Will they be able to stop the Houston running game? The model likes a close one: Giants 22 Texans 21.

9) Minnesota at N.Y. Jets (Line : NYJ – 4, O/U : 39) Against most teams the addition of Randy Moss would open up the field for Adrian Peterson – but this is the Jets, and with Darrelle Revis returning, he should lock up Moss by himself. The pick is the Jets continue to roll: Jets 25 Vikings 17.

8 ) Tennessee at Dallas  (Line : DAL – 6.5, O/U : 41.5) Tennessee will look to recover after a surprising loss to Denver, but will have a tough task against a Cowboy team coming off a bye. The Titans play well on the road though, and the prediction is they keep this one close: Cowboys 19 Titans 17.

7) Jacksonville at Buffalo (Line : Pickem, O/U : 41) If there will be a letdown for the Jags after their big win over Indy, this will be a big letdown. Buffalo will look to Ryan Fitzpatrick to take advantage of a porous Jag D. The pick is Jacksonville: Jaguars 29 Bills 22.

6) New Orleans at Arizona (Line : NOR – 6.5, O/U : 45) Is Max Hall the answer? Arizona hopes so, but they have other problems – they have given up a ton of rushing yards, and with the prospect of Pierre Thomas returning, the model likes the Saints: Saints 30 Cardinals 15.

5) Kansas City at Indianapolis (Line : IND – 8, O/U : 45) The Chiefs have a tough assignment off the bye week – defending their perfect record at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts have yet to establish the run, but will they need to? The model likes a close contest: Chiefs 21 Colts 20.

4) Denver at Baltimore (Line : BAL – 7, O/U : 38.5) The Broncos look for a second straight big win on the road. The 3-1 Ravens will try to be more impressive at home, but their weak secondary will be put to the test against the Denver passing attack. The pick is an upset: Broncos 20 Ravens 18.

3) San Diego at Oakland (Line : SDC – 6, O/U : 45) In two games on the road, the Chargers have lost to teams that should be inferior (Seattle and KC). In two games at home, they have won convincingly (Arixona and Jacksonville). Which team will show up in Oakland? The good one: Chargers 31 Raiders 16.

2) St. Louis at Detroit (Line : DET – 3, O/U : 42.5) The line in this one is most likely based on a nice performance by the Lions last week – but, as you’ve already read, I’m big on the Rams D, and so is the model. Take the Rams here: Rams 28 Lions 19.

1) Philadelphia at San Francisco  (Line : SFO – 3.5, O/U : 38)Kevin Kolb gets the start, and he needs to do better than he did in Week 1, or last week. The Niners just need to do better, period. Their first home game was close – will they get win #1 here? The prediction is no: Eagles 24 49ers 12.

Thoughts on these picks? Let me know.

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Categories: NFL
  1. Ray
    October 10, 2010 at 2:27 AM

    If I counted correctly, this week you are going with 12 road teams (ATS), interesting.

    I’ll go with two teams currently at 0-4 to end their droughts:
    1. No doubt the Rams at 2-2 are one of the bigger suprises of this season. Both their D and Bradford are playing better than most expected. But, I do not see them getting 3 wins in a row at this time.
    2. Under Singletary the Niners usually show-up for games in the national spotlight. The Eagles come into this game, without Vick and Asante Samuel and a banged up LeSean McCoy, just enough for the Niners to get their first win of the season.

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