Home > NFL > Sept. 15 – Week 2 Picks (Part 1)

Sept. 15 – Week 2 Picks (Part 1)

Here are the 8 “lower confidence” games picked by the model:

16) Buffalo at Green Bay (Line : GBP – 13, O/U : 43) The model likes the Pack by 13.32, so there is very little wiggle room here. Aaron Rodgers should have a better Sunday against the Bills than he did in Week 1. The Bills will try and muster more than 10 points: Packers 29 Bills 15.

15) Philadelphia at Detroit (Line : PHI – 5, O/U : 41.5) The prediction here is the Iggles by 5.4, so this is another close one. Both teams come in with backup QBs starting. Megatron will be wearing sticky gloves this week, but will it matter? : Eagles 27 Lions 21.

Jake Delhomme - courtesy Leon Halip/Getty Images

14) Kansas City at Cleveland (Line : CLE – 1.5, O/U : 39)The Browns will try to avoid the second half meltdown that occurred in Florida last week. Delhomme might not play, but is that a bad thing? KC looks for a 2-0 start that would surprise many. The model has the Brownies by 1.92 – another close call: Browns 19 Chiefs 17.

13) Arizona at Atlanta (Line : ATL – 6.5, O/U : 43) Atlanta opens its home schedule in what they are hoping will be high-scoring fashion. The Arizona defense held the Rams to 13 last week, but this Falcon team is a different beast. The prediction is Atlanta by 7.12, still less than 1 off of the line : Falcons 23 Cardinals 16.

12) New England at N.Y. Jets (Line : NEP – 2, O/U : 38) The Jets would be in a bad way if they started 0-2, with both losses at home. The Pats would be in a good way if they can secure this division road game on their way to a 2-0 start. Another close one to the line here – the math has the Pats winning by 1.37 – so the pick is they don’t cover: Patriots 21 Jets 20.

11) Tampa Bay at Carolina (Line : CAR – 3.5, O/U : 39) The Panthers will try to rebound from a sloppy Week 1. The Bucs will look to build on their comeback win over Cleveland. Moore looks like he will start for the Cats. The model likes Carolina to cover by a small margin: Panthers 24 Buccaneers 19.

10) Baltimore at Cincinnati (Line : BAL – 2, O/U : 40)The Ravens are favored on the road here after a very good defensive showing against the Jets. But be careful here – this Cincy team wont run the ball over and over  – Carson will air it out to Ocho Cinco and Ocho Uno. The pick here is a narrow Bengal win: Bengals 19 Ravens 18.

9) Miami at Minnesota (Line : MIN – 5.5, O/U : 39.5) The Vikings will have to prove they can score against the Dolphins’ stingy defense. On the other side, the Miami offense will probably have to do better than the TD and 2 FGs they scored against the Bills if they want to beat Minnesota. The model likes a Viking win, but not a Viking cover: Vikings 20 Dolphins 18.

Let me know if you have any comments on the games. I’ll go through the other 8 games tomorrow.

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